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United Kingdom

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Table 12

Benchmark nuclear generation project

Source: UK submission ‘Answers to the Commission's questions received 16 September 2014’ based on publicly available documents (Bruce Power audit report — April 2007, p. 14.: Confirmed as a project rate of return in letter from CIBC World Markets Inc. to The Ministry of Energy, Ontario, 17 October 2005, http://www.rds.ontarioenergyboard.ca/webdrawer/webdrawer.dll/webdrawer/rec/67137/view/PWU_Exhibit_K11.3_fairness_opinion_bruce_20080613.pdf.PDF, Letter from CIBC World Markets Inc. to the Ministry of Energy, Ontario, 17 October 2005, http://www.rds.ontarioenergyboard.ca/webdrawer/webdrawer.dll/webdrawer/rec/67137/view/PWU_Exhibit_K11.3_fairness_opinion_bruce_20080613.pdf.PDF Bruce Power Fairness Opinion (CIBC World Markets Inc.) — October 2005, p. 5.

ProjectOntario Power Authority
TechnologyRefurbishment of Bruce Power nuclear plant
Gearing20-40 per cent
Real cost of debt (pre-tax)6,20 per cent
Nominal target equity IRR (post-tax)13,7-18 per cent (12,8-17,1 per cent adjusted for current UK interest rate)
Target project IRR10,6-13,8 per cent (9,7-12,9 per cent adjusted for current UK interest rate)
Investment horizon (asset life)25 years
Investment size4bn CAD
Level of Revenue certaintyFixed price CfD for remainder of plant life (25 years)
Level of construction riskLower — refurbishment, not new build, cost overrun sharing
Level of operating riskLower — staff cost overrun sharing, fuel cost pass-through
Level of financing riskLower — smaller capital project, shorter period
Contingent equity requiredUnknown