OpenLegislation

Annex XXV Reporting on national projections pursuant to Article 38

United Kingdom

Original text. Later amendments are not shown.

Table 1a: Greenhouse gas projections by gases and categories (1)

Category (2)Separately for: CO2, CH4, N2O, SF6, NF3, (kt) and HFCs, PFCs, unspecified mix of HFCs and PFCs-(kt CO2-eq) (3)Total GHG emissions (kt CO2 -eq)ETS emissions (kt CO2-eq) (4)ESR emissions (kt CO2-eq) (5)
YearYearYearYear
projection base year (6)t-5 (7)tt+5t+10t+15projection base yeart-5tt+5t+10t+15projection base yeart-5tt+5t+10t+15projection base yeart-5tt+5t+10t+15
Total excluding LULUCF
Total including LULUCF

1.

Energy

A.

Fuel combustion

1.

Energy industries

a.

Public electricity and heat production

b.

Petroleum refining

c.

Manufacture of solid fuels and other energy industries

2.

Manufacturing industries and construction

3.

Transport

a.

Domestic aviation

b.

Road transportation

c.

Railways

d.

Domestic navigation

e.

Other transportation

4.

Other sectors

a.

Commercial/ Institutional

b.

Residential

c.

Agriculture/ Forestry/ Fishing

5.

Other

B.

Fugitive emissions from fuels

1.

Solid fuels

2.

Oil and natural gas and other emissions from energy production

C.

CO2 transport and storage

2.

Industrial processes

A.

Mineral Industry

of which 2.A.1 (cement production)

B.

Chemical industry

C.

Metal industry

of which 2.C.1 (Iron and steel production)

D.

Non-energy products from fuels and solvent use

E.

Electronics industry

F.

Product uses as substitutes for ODS (8)

G.

Other product manufacture and use

H.

Other

3.

Agriculture

A.

Enteric fermentation

B.

Manure management

C.

Rice cultivation

D.

Agricultural soils

E.

Prescribed burning of savannahs

F.

Field burning of agricultural residues

G.

Liming

H.

Urea application

I.

Other carbon-containing fertilizers

J.

Other (please specify)

4.

Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry (LULUCF, reported emissions and removals) (9)

A.

Forest land

B.

Cropland

C.

Grassland

D.

Wetlands

E.

Settlements

F.

Other Land

G.

Harvested wood products

H.

Other

5.

Waste

A.

Solid Waste Disposal

B.

Biological treatment of solid waste

C.

Incineration and open burning of waste

D.

Wastewater treatment and discharge

E.

Other (please specify)

Memo items
International bunkers
Aviation
Navigation
CO2 emissions from biomass
CO2 captured
Indirect CO2 (if available) (10)

Table 1b: Projections of reported greenhouse gas emissions and removals in the LULUCF sector as reported in the national greenhouse gas inventory (to be reported on if Table 5a is not completed in full) (1) (2)

Part 1: LULUCF GHG emissions and removals on inventory and accounting category matching levelseparately for CO2, CH4, N2O (kt CO2-eq)Total GHG emissions(kt CO2-eq)
Greenhouse gas source and sink categoriesCategory as used in Table 1aLULUCF RegulationAccounting subcategory(as Table 5a)LULUCF RegulationAccounting categoryprojection base year (3)t-5tt+5t+10t+15projection base yeart-5tt+5t+10t+15

4.A.1.

Forest land remaining forest land

4.A

Forest land

Forest land remaining forest landManaged forest land

4.A.2.1

Cropland converted to forest land

4.A

Forest land

Cropland converted to forest landAfforested land

4.A.2.2

Grassland converted to forest land

4.A

Forest land

Grassland converted to forest landAfforested land

4.A.2.3

Wetlands converted to forest land

4.A

Forest land

Wetland converted to forest landAfforested land

4.A.2.4

Settlements converted to forest land

4.A

Forest land

Settlements converted to forest landAfforested land

4.A.2.5

Other land converted to forest land

4.A

Forest land

Other land converted to forest landAfforested land

4.B.1.

Cropland remaining cropland

4.B.

Cropland

Cropland remaining croplandManaged cropland

4.B.2.1

Forest land converted to cropland

4.B.

Cropland

Forest land converted to croplandDeforested land

4.B.2.2

Grassland converted to cropland

4.B.

Cropland

Grassland converted to croplandManaged cropland

4.B.2.3

Wetlands converted to cropland

4.B.

Cropland

Wetland converted to croplandManaged cropland

4.B.2.4

Settlements converted to cropland

4.B.

Cropland

Settlements converted to croplandManaged cropland

4.B.2.5

Other land converted to cropland

4.B.

Cropland

Other land converted to croplandManaged cropland

4.C.1.

Grassland remaining grassland

4.C.

Grassland

Grassland remaining grasslandManaged grassland

4.C.2.1

Forest land converted to grassland

4.C.

Grassland

Forest land converted to grasslandDeforested land

4.C.2.2

Cropland converted to grassland

4.C.

Grassland

Cropland converted to grasslandManaged grassland

4.C.2.3

Wetlands converted to grassland

4.C.

Grassland

Wetland converted to grasslandManaged grassland

4.C.2.4

Settlements converted to grassland

4.C.

Grassland

Settlements converted to grasslandManaged grassland

4.C.2.5

Other Land converted to grassland

4.C.

Grassland

Other land converted to grasslandManaged grassland

4.D.1.

Wetlands remaining wetlands

4.D.

Wetlands

Wetland remaining wetlandManaged wetland

4.D.2.1.1

Forest land converted to peat extraction

4.D.

Wetlands

Forest land converted to wetlandDeforested land

4.D.2.1.2

Cropland converted to peat extraction

4.D.

Wetlands

Cropland converted to wetlandManaged cropland

4.D.2.1.3

Grassland converted to peat extraction

4.D.

Wetlands

Grassland converted to wetlandManaged grassland

4.D.2.1.4

Settlements converted to peat extraction

4.D.

Wetlands

Settlement converted to wetlandManaged wetland

4.D.2.1.5

Other land converted to peat extraction

4.D.

Wetlands

Other land converted to wetlandManaged wetland

4.D.2.2.1

Forest land converted to flooded land

4.D.

Wetlands

Forest land converted to wetlandDeforested land

4.D.2.2.2

Cropland converted to flooded land

4.D.

Wetlands

Cropland converted to wetlandManaged cropland

4.D.2.2.3

Grassland converted to flooded land

4.D.

Wetlands

Grassland converted to wetlandManaged grassland

4.D.2.2.4

Settlements converted to flooded land

4.D.

Wetlands

Settlement converted to wetlandManaged wetland

4.D.2.2.5

Other land converted to flooded land

4.D.

Wetlands

Other land converted to wetlandManaged wetland

4.D.2.3.1

Forest land converted to other wetlands

4.D.

Wetlands

Forest land converted to wetlandDeforested land

4.D.2.3.2

Cropland converted to other wetlands

4.D.

Wetlands

Cropland converted to wetlandManaged cropland

4.D.2.3.3

Grassland converted to other wetlands

4.D.

Wetlands

Grassland converted to wetlandManaged grassland

4.D.2.3.4

Settlements converted to other wetlands

4.D.

Wetlands

Settlement converted to wetlandManaged wetland

4.D.2.3.5

Other land converted to other wetlands

4.D.

Wetlands

Other land converted to wetlandManaged wetland

4.E.1.

Settlements remaining settlements

4.E.

Settlements

not accounted for under Regulation (EU) 2018/841

4.E.2.1

Forest land converted to settlements

4.E.

Settlements

Forest land converted to settlementsDeforested land

4.E.2.2

Cropland converted to settlements

4.E.

Settlements

Cropland converted to settlementsManaged cropland

4.E.2.3

Grassland converted to settlements

4.E.

Settlements

Grassland converted to settlementManaged grassland

4.E.2.4

Wetlands converted to settlements

4.E.

Settlements

Wetland converted to settlementManaged wetland

4.E.2.5

Other land converted to settlements

4.E.

Settlements

not accounted for under Regulation (EU) 2018/841

4.F.1.

Other land remaining other land

4.F.

Other land

not accounted for under Regulation (EU) 2018/841

4.F.2.1

Forest land converted to other land

4.F.

Other land

Forest land converted to other landDeforested land

4.F.2.2

Cropland converted to other land

4.F.

Other land

Cropland converted to other landManaged cropland

4.F.2.3

Grassland converted to other land

4.F.

Other land

Grassland converted to other landManaged grassland

4.F.2.4

Wetlands converted to other land

4.F.

Other land

Wetland converted to other landManaged wetland

4.F.2.5

Settlements converted to other land

4.F.

Other land

not accounted for under Regulation (EU) 2018/841

4.G

Harvested wood products; thereof: Harvested wood products from managed forest land

4.G.

Harvested wood products

Harvested wood products from managed forest landHarvested wood products

4.G

Harvested wood products; thereof: Harvested wood products from afforested land

4.G.

Harvested wood products

Harvested wood products from afforested landHarvested wood products

4.G

Harvested wood products; thereof: Harvested wood products from deforested land

4.G.

Harvested wood products

not accounted for under Regulation (EU) 2018/841

4.G

Harvested wood products; thereof: Harvested wood products from other land

4.G.

Harvested wood products

not accounted for under Regulation (EU) 2018/841

4.H.

Other (please specify)

4.H.

Other

not accounted for under Regulation (EU) 2018/841
Table 1b Part 2: summary for Table 1a (automatically calculated)separately forCO2, CH4, N2O (kt CO2-eq)Total GHG emissions (kt CO2-eq)
Greenhouse gas source and sink categories (as Table 1a)projection base yeart-5tt+5t+10t+15projection base yeart-5tt+5t+10t+15

4.A.

Forest land

4.B.

Cropland

4.C.

Grassland

4.D.

Wetlands

4.E.

Settlements

4.F.

Other land

4.G.

Harvested wood products

4.H.

Other

Table 1b Part 3: summary for Table 5a (automatically calculated)separately forCO2, CH4, N2O (kt CO2-eq)Total GHG emissions (kt CO2-eq)
LULUCF RegulationAccounting categoryprojection base yeart-5tt+5t+10t+15projection base yeart-5tt+5t+10t+15
Sum afforested land
Sum deforested land
Sum managed cropland
Sum managed grassland
Sum managed forest land
Sum managed wetland
Sum harvested wood products
Sum unaccounted

Table 2: Indicators to monitor and evaluate projected progress of policies and measures, if used

Indicator (1)/ numerator/denominatorUnitGuidance/definitionGuidance/sourceIndicator used (Yes / No)With existing measuresWith additional measures
Base yeartt+5t+10t+15Base yeartt+5t+10t+15
Carbon Intensity of the overall economytCO2eq/GDPEUR (2016); Carbon intensity to be calculated with GDP as defined by Eurostat
GHG intensity of domestic power and heat generationtCO2/MWhMWh of gross electricity and heat generation as defined by Eurostat
GHG intensity of final energy consumption by sector
IndustrytCO2eq/toe
ResidentialtCO2eq/toe
TertiarytCO2eq/toe
TransporttCO2eq/toe
Passenger transport (when available)tCO2eq/toe
Freight transport (when available)tCO2eq/toe
Add a line for each other indicator

Table 3: Reporting on parameters / variables for projections, if used (1) (2)

Parameter used (3) (‘with existing measures’ scenario)YearValuesDefault unitSectoral projections for which the parameter is used (6)
Parameter / variable part of projections (6)Base=Reference yearBase=Reference yeart- 5tt + 5t + 10t + 15Data sourceYear of publication of data sourceYear of publication of data source1 A:1 Energy industries1:A:2 Manufacturing industries and construction1:A:3 Transport excluding 1:A:3:a domestic aviation1:A:4:a Commercial=institutional1:A:4:b Residential1B Fugitive emissions from fuels2 Industrial Processes and product use3 Agriculture4 LULUCF5 WasteInternational Aviation in the EU ETS1:A:3:a Domestic aviationComment for guidance

1.

General parameters and variables

PopulationCount
Gross domestic product (GDP)Real growth rate%EUR (2016) (8)
Constant pricesEUR millionEUR (2016)
Gross value added (GVA)- totalEUR millionEUR (2016)
Gross value added (GVA) - agricultureEUR millionEUR (2016)
Gross value added (GVA)- constructionEUR millionEUR (2016)
Gross value added (GVA) - servicesEUR millionEUR (2016)
Gross value added (GVA) – energy sectorEUR millionEUR (2016)
Gross value added (GVA) – industryEUR millionEUR (2016)
Number of householdsThousands
Household sizeinhabitants/ household
Disposable income of householdsEUR / year
Number of passenger-kilometres (all modes) million pkm
Number of passenger-kilometres – roadmillion pkm
Of which public road transport million pkm
Of which private cars million pkm
Of which motorcycles million pkm
Of which buses million pkm
Number of passenger-kilometres – railmillion tkm
Number of passenger-kilometres – domestic aviationmillion tkm
Number of passenger-kilometres – international aviationmillion tkm
Number of passenger-kilometres – domestic navigationmillion tkm
Freight transport tonnes-kilo metres (all modes) million tkm
Freight transport tonnes-kilometres - roadmillion tkm
Freight transport tonnes-kilometres - railmillion tkm
Freight transport tonnes-kilometres – domestic aviationmillion tkm
Freight transport tonnes-kilometres – international aviationmillion tkm
Freight transport tonnes-kilometres – domestic navigation (inland waterways and national maritime)million tkm
International (wholesale) fuel import pricesCoal

either

EUR/GJ

EUR (2016); Indicate if Commission recommendation has been followed; for calorific values use values published by Eurostat

or

EUR/toe

Crude Oil

either

EUR/GJ

EUR (2016); Indicate if Commission recommendation has been followed

or

EUR/toe

Natural gas

either

EUR/GJ

EUR (2016); Indicate if Commission recommendation has been followed; for calorific values use values published by Eurostat

or

EUR/toe

EU ETS carbon priceEUR/EUAEUR (2016); Indicate if Commission recommendation has been followed
Exchange rates EURO (for non- EURO countries), if applicableEUR/ currencyEUR (2016)
Exchange rates US DOLLAR, if applicableUSD/ currencyUSD (2016)
Number of heating degree days (HDD)Count
Number of cooling degree days (CDD)Count

2.

Energy balances and indicators

for calorific values use values published by Eurostat

2.1

Energy supply

Indigenous Production by fuel type (total)ktoe
Solidsktoe
Oilktoe
Natural gasktoe
Nuclearktoe
Renewable energy sourcesktoe
Waste and otherktoe
Net imports Electricityktoe
Gross inland consumption by fuel type source (total)ktoe
Solid fossil fuelsktoe
Crude oil and petroleum productsktoe
Natural gasktoe
Nuclear energyktoe
Electricityktoe
Derived heatktoe
Renewablesktoe
Wastektoe
Otherktoe

2.2

Electricity and heat

Gross electricity generation (total)GWh
Nuclear energyGWh
SolidsGWh
Oil (incl. refinery gas)GWh
Natural gas (including derived gases)GWh
RenewablesGWh
Other fuels (hydrogen, methanol)GWh
Heat generation from thermal power generationGWh
Heat generation from combined heat and power plants, including industrial waste heatGWh

2.3

Transformation sector

Fuel inputs to thermal power generationktoe
Solidsktoe
Oilktoe
Gasktoe
Fuel inputs to other conversion processesktoe

2.4

Energy consumption

Final energy consumptionktoe
Solidsktoe
Oilktoe
Gasktoe
Electricityktoe
Derived heatktoe
Renewable energyktoe
Thereof ambient heatktoe
Otherktoe
Industryktoe
Solids ktoe
Oil ktoe
Gas ktoe
Electricity ktoe
Heat ktoe
Renewable energy ktoe
Other ktoe
Residentialktoe
Solids ktoe
Oil ktoe
Gas ktoe
Electricity ktoe
Heat ktoe
Renewable energy ktoe
Other ktoe
Tertiaryktoe
Solids ktoe
Oil ktoe
Gas ktoe
Electricity ktoe
Heat ktoe
Renewable energy ktoe
Other ktoe
Agriculture/ Forestryktoe
Transportktoe
Solids ktoe
Oil ktoe
Gas ktoe
Electricity ktoe
Heat ktoe
Renewable energy ktoe
Other ktoe
thereof passenger transport (when available)ktoe
thereof freight transport (when available)ktoe
thereof international aviation
Otherktoe
Final non-energy consumptionktoe

2.5

Prices

Electricity prices by type of using sector
ResidentialEUR(MWh)EUR (2016)
IndustryEUR(MWh)EUR (2016)
TertiaryEUR(MWh)EUR (2016)
National retail fuel prices (including taxes, per source and sector)
Coal, industryEUR/ktoeEUR (2016)
Coal, house holdsEUR/ktoeEUR (2016)
Diesel oil, industryEUR/ktoeEUR (2016)
Diesel oil, householdsEUR/ktoeEUR (2016)
Diesel oil, transportEUR/ktoeEUR (2016)
Diesel oil, transport private (when available)EUR/ktoeEUR (2016)
Diesel oil, transport public (when available)EUR/ktoeEUR (2016)
Gasoline, transportEUR/ktoeEUR (2016)
Gasoline, transport private (when available)EUR/ktoeEUR (2016)
Gasoline, transport public (when available)EUR/ktoeEUR (2016)
Natural gas, industryEUR/ktoeEUR (2016)
Natural gas, householdsEUR/ktoeEUR (2016)

3.

Non-CO2 emission related parameters

3.1

Agriculture

Livestock
Dairy cattle1 000 heads
Non-dairy cattle1 000 heads
Sheep1 000 heads
Pig1 000 heads
Poultry1 000 heads
Nitrogen input from application of synthetic fertilizerskt nitrogen
Nitrogen input from application of manurekt nitrogen
Nitrogen fixed by N-fixing cropskt nitrogen
Nitrogen in crop residues returned to soilskt nitrogen
Area of cultivated organic soils1 000 hectares

3.2

Waste

Municipal solid waste (MSW) generationt
Municipal solid waste (MSW) going to landfillst
Share of CH4 recovery in total CH4 generation from landfills%

4.

LULUCF

4.1

Managed forest land

Forest harvest removals for energy use1 000 cubic meters
Forest harvest removals for non-energy use1 000 cubic meters
Forest increment1 000 cubic meters
Forest disturbances included in modellingYes / No
Forest land remaining forest land1 000 hectares

4.2

Afforested land

Forest harvest removals for energy use1 000 cubic meters
Forest harvest removals for non-energy use1 000 cubic meters
Forest increment1 000 cubic meters
Cropland converted to forest land1 000 hectares
Grassland converted to forest land1 000 hectares
Wetlands converted to forest land1 000 hectares
Settlements converted to forest land1 000 hectares
Other land converted to forest land1 000 hectares

4.3

Deforested land

Forest land converted to cropland1 000 hectares
Forest land converted to grassland1 000 hectares
Forest land converted to wetlands1 000 hectares
Forest land converted to settlements1 000 hectares
Forest land converted to other land1 000 hectares

4.4

Managed cropland

Cropland, remaining cropland1 000 hectares
Grassland, wetland, settlement or other land converted to cropland1 000 hectares
Cropland converted to wetland, settlement or other land (excl. forest land)1 000 hectares

4.5

Managed grassland

Grassland remaining grassland1 000 hectares
Cropland, wetland, settlement or other land, converted to grassland1 000 hectares
Grassland converted to wetland, settlement or other land1 000 hectares

4.6

Managed wetland

Wetland remaining wetland1 000 hectares
Settlement or other land, converted to wetland1 000 hectares
Wetland converted to settlement or other land1 000 hectares

4.7

Harvested wood products

Gains of Harvested wood products (4)kt C
Losses of Harvested wood products (4)kt C
Half-life of Harvested wood products (5)years

5.

Other parameters and variables

Technology cost assumptions used for main relevant technologies:

Add row for each relevant technology

Add row for each other relevant parameter

Table 4: Model Factsheet

Model name (abbreviation)
Full model name
Model version and status
Latest date of revision
URL to model description
Model type
Summary
Intended field of application
Description of main input data categories and data sources
Validation and evaluation
Output quantities
GHG covered
Sectoral coverage
Geographical coverage
Temporal coverage (e.g. time steps, time span)
Other models which interact with this model, and type of interaction (e.g. data input to this model, use of data output from this model)
Input from other models
References to the assessment and the technical reports that underpin the projections and the models used
Model structure (if diagram please add to the template)
Comments or other relevant information

Table 5a: Projections of reported emissions and removals from the LULUCF sector by gases and accounting categories as defined in Regulation (EU) 2018/841 (to be reported only if Table 1b is not completed in full)

CategoryCO2(kt)CH4(kt)N2O(kt)Total GHG emissions (kt CO2 -eq)
projection base yeart-5 (2)tt+5t+10t+15projection base yeart-5tt+5t+10t+15projection base yeart-5tt+5t+10t+15projection base yeart-5tt+5t+10t+15
Managed forest land
Forest land remaining forest land
Afforested land
Cropland converted to forest land
Grassland converted to forest land
Wetland converted to forest land
Settlements converted to forest land
Other land converted to forest land
Deforested land
Forest land converted to cropland
Forest land converted to grassland
Forest land converted to wetland
Forest land converted to settlements
Forest land converted to other land
Managed cropland
Cropland remaining cropland
Grassland converted to cropland
Wetland converted to cropland
Settlements converted to cropland
Other land converted to cropland
Cropland converted to wetland
Cropland converted to settlements
Cropland converted to other land
Managed grassland
Grassland remaining grassland
Cropland converted to grassland
Wetland converted to grassland
Settlements converted to grassland
Other land converted to grassland
Grassland converted to wetland
Grassland converted to settlement
Grassland converted to other land
Managed wetland
Wetland remaining wetland
Settlement converted to wetland
Other land converted to wetland
Wetland converted to settlement
Wetland converted to other land
Harvested wood products
Managed forest land
Afforested land

Table 5b: Projections of accounted emissions and removals from the LULUCF sector in accordance with Regulation (EU) 2018/841 and the effort sharing sector in accordance with Regulation (EU) 2018/842 (1) (2)

Category2021-20252026-2030
Total cumulative emissions/removals(kt CO2-eq)Total cumulative emissions/removals(kt CO2-eq)
Effort Sharing Sectors (3)
LULUCF: Afforested land
LULUCF: Deforested land
LULUCF: Managed cropland
LULUCF: Managed grassland
LULUCF: Managed forest land, including harvested wood products (4)
LULUCF Managed forest land, including harvested wood products assuming instantaneous oxidation
LULUCF: Managed wetland (5)

Table 6: Results of the sensitivity analysis (to be submitted for each sensitivity scenario calculated)

CategoryGHG emissions/removals (kt CO2 -eq)
projection base yeart-5tt+5t+10t+15
Total excluding LULUCF
Total ETS stationary
Total Effort Sharing
LULUCF (reported)
Add rows for other relevant sectors/categories if available

Table 7: Key parameters that were varied in the sensitivity analysis

(Submit for each sensitivity scenario calculated). Only those parameters are to be filled in that were varied in a specific scenario.

Parameter values in sensitivity scenarioYearValuesDefault unit
Parameter varied (1)Base=Reference yearBase=Reference yeart- 5tt + 5t + 10t + 15Comment for Guidance
General parameters and variables
PopulationCount
Gross domestic product (GDP)Real growth rate%
Constant pricesEUR millionEUR (2016) (2)
Gross value added (GVA) – totalEUR millionEUR (2016)
Gross value added (GVA) – agricultureEUR millionEUR (2016)
Gross value added (GVA) – constructionEUR millionEUR (2016)
Gross value added (GVA) – servicesEUR millionEUR (2016)
Gross value added (GVA) – energy sectorEUR millionEUR (2016)
Gross value added (GVA) – industryEUR millionEUR (2016)
International (wholesale) fuel import pricesCoalEUR/GJEUR (2016)
EUR/toeEUR (2016)
Crude OilEUR/GJEUR (2016)
EUR/toeEUR (2016)
Natural gasEUR/GJEUR (2016)
EUR/toeEUR (2016)
EU ETS carbon priceEUR/ EUAEUR (2016)
Number of heating degree days (HDD)Count
Number of cooling degree days (CDD)Count
Number of passenger-kilometres (all modes)million pkm
Freight transport tonnes-kilometres (all modes)million tkm
(Add rows for further parameters that were varied)
  1. Division
  2. Notes:
  3. Notes:
  4. Division
  5. Notes:
  6. Notes:
  7. Notes:
  8. Notes:
  9. Notes:
  10. Division
  11. (2)Division (2)