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Division STEP 2: SCORING OF THE SAFETY RISK WITHIN THE ERCS MATRIX

United Kingdom

Original text. Later amendments are not shown.

The safety risk score is a two-digit value where the first digit corresponds to the alphabetic value resulting from the calculation of the severity of the occurrence (severity score A to X) and the second digit represents the numerical value from the calculation of the corresponding score of the occurrence (0 to 9).

The safety risk score shall be put into the ERCS matrix.

For each given safety risk score there is also a numerical equivalent score for aggregation and analysis purposes which is explained below under ‘Numerical equivalent score’.

The ERCS matrix reflects the safety risk score and the numerical associated figures of an occurrence as follows:

In addition to the safety risk score and to facilitate the determination of the urgency of the recommended action to be taken about the occurrence, the following three colours could be used in the ERCS matrix:

ColourERCS scoreMeaning
REDX0, X1, X2, S0, S1, S2, M0, M1, I0High risk. Occurrences with the highest risk.
YELLOWX3, X4, S3, S4, M2, M3, I1, I2, E0, E1Elevated risk. Occurrences with intermediate risk
GREENX5 to X9, S5 to S9, M4 to M9, I3 to I9, E2 to E9.Low risk occurrences

The green area of the matrix contains lower risk values. They provide data for in-depth analysis on safety related occurrences that could, either in isolation or in conjunction with other events, increase the risk values of such occurrences.

Numerical equivalent score

Each ERCS score is assigned a corresponding numerical value of risk magnitude to facilitate the aggregation and numerical analysis of multiple occurrences with an ERCS score:

ERCS ScoreX9X8X7X6X5X4X3X2X1X0
Corresponding numerical value0,0010,010,11101001000100001000001000000
ERCS ScoreS9S8S7S6S5S4S3S2S1S0
Corresponding numerical value0,00050,0050,050,5550500500050000500000
ERCS ScoreM9M8M7M6M5M4M3M2M1M0
Corresponding numerical value0,00010,0010,010,1110100100010000100000
ERCS ScoreI9I8I7I6I5I4I3I2I1I0
Corresponding numerical value0,000010,00010,0010,010,1110100100010000
ERCS ScoreE9E8E7E6E5E4E3E2E1E0
Corresponding numerical value0,0000010,000010,00010,0010,010,11101001000

Both column 10 and the row A in the matrix bear the value 0 as the corresponding numerical value.