Division

United Kingdom

Table 9

Summary DDM results for a selection of scenarios

Run	Key Assumptions	Capacity Market	First Nuclear Deployment	Grid carbon intensity 2030	Grid carbon intensity 2040	Grid carbon intensity 2049
1a	BAU	No	2037	232	188	96
1d	BAU, High Fuel Prices	No	2031	186	101	46
1e	BAU, Low Fuel Prices	No	2041	269	233	121
2a	BAU + Nuclear CfD	No	2023	158	88	37
3a	Non-nuclear Low Carbon CfDs	No	2037	164	135	61
3d	Non-nuclear Low Carbon CfDs, High Fuel Prices	No	2031	181	123	52
3e	Non-nuclear Low Carbon CfDs, Low Fuel Prices	No	2041	182	120	66
3h	Non-nuclear Low Carbon CfDs, more interconnection	No	2037	160	133	59
4a	Low Carbon CfDs	No	2023	100	42	25
5a	BAU	Yes	2037	236	194	88
5d	BAU, High Fuel Prices	Yes	2032	194	111	52
5e	BAU, Low Fuel Prices	Yes	2041	272	235	126
7a	Non-nuclear Low Carbon CfDs	Yes	2046	104	49	33
7d	Non-nuclear Low Carbon CfDs, High Fuel Prices	Yes	2038	137	65	28
7e	Non-nuclear Low Carbon CfDs, Low Fuel Prices	Yes	Not before 2049	113	51	44
7f	Non-nuclear Low Carbon CfDs, High Nuclear Costs, Low RES and CCS costs	Yes	2048	97	46	35
7g (only to 2030)	Non-nuclear Low Carbon CfDs, more DSR, more EDR, more Interconnection	Yes	Not before 2030	104	N/A	N/A
7h	Non-nuclear Low Carbon CfDs, more interconnection	Yes	2046	101	48	32
8a	Low Carbon CfDs	Yes	2023	104	50	31
8d	Low Carbon CfDs, High Fuel Prices	Yes	2023	99	48	30
8e	Low Carbon CfDs, Low Fuel Prices	Yes	2023	99	38	30
8f	Low Carbon CfDs, High Nuclear costs, Low RES and CCS costs	Yes	2023	102	45	28
8g (only to 2030)	Low Carbon CfDs, more DSR, more EDR, more Interconnection	Yes	2023	98	N/A	N/A
8h	Low Carbon CfDs, more Interconnection	Yes	2023	100	53	32